I havent posted in quite a while but have been looking in on the forum to see how everybody has been handling this season. And the ideas that you guys are throwing out there in terms of planning for the future. Although some ideas have some merit and should be discussed, another way of looking at the situation is required. Often times when i see a plan set forth by a member, its always the lakers get every guy they would want, like the lakers are in a buffet and have first dibs on everything before the buffet opens to the public.
In terms of planning, any franchise in every sport has one. What separates those plans from great ones is the planning of things not going you are way every single time and having contengincies in place. Before i lay out my plan, i would like to give some points before so you guys can get a better view of my ideas and what direction there going.
Lakers current season: Obviously this has been a very trying season to say the least. It rivals the pessimism and self pity felt in the Kwame Brown and Smush parker days. Even more so with so many injuries especially to Kobe. To have him sit out for so long is so strange and to not be able to enjoy him play.
My thoughts on Jim Buss: Something that has bothered me is the attitude from some members that like to bash him at any point at all times in terms of every issue facing the team. Its fine to discuss and disagree with decisions, but the vibes that i get from most members is " oh great what has he done now?" They have an opinion even before fully understanding an action or decision based on this notion that everything he touches is a disaster. This is not to say I'm some sort of defender of him. As of now, i have no opinion either way in terms of liking him and having faith in his ability to guide the franchise into our standards as lakers fans, which is of course championships. What i am doing is looking at his decisions that he has done, there have been some good ones and bad ones.
Hits: The chris paul was a real coup for the lakers. Obviously we all know what happened and i don't want to get into it that much because I'm still sour about it.
Acquisition of Howard: In terms of Howard, i never thought the lakers were going to land him in a trade realistically. But when we did i was eccstatic. We were all aware of the reports that he did not want to go to the lakers but i felt at the time that if we did manage to get him, we would be able to convince him to stay. Now things didint go to plan and we lost him to free agency. But in hindsight, it was a gamble that everyone was on board with. We all knew the risk. The only reason people are blaming buss is because the lakers win their gambles most of the time. In conclusion, the pursuit and acquisition of Howard was a great move by the front office. In terms what we gave up, Bynum was a great player but sadly his injuries have made him a limited minutes guy, so we didint really lose much in terms of players.
Steve Nash: I don't want to put opinions in people heads, but werent at least 90% of the forums extatic about getting nash? The belief was finnaly the lakers have a great pg who can really run a offense and put people in good position to be the most effective. Sadly his run with the lakers has been non existent. Back to my previous point in terms of howard, it was a gamble to trade with him that we lost. Picture youreself in that time window beforehand in the front office with the possibility of getting nash, you are telling me you would call it off?. The belief was that even though he was up there in years, he could still play at an elite level with monitered minutes. Unlike the trade for howard however, the lakers did lose some assets that would have helped us now in our current situation.
Lakers plan for contention.
Step 1: Before i get into personnel and coaches, something that i would like the lakers to do is bring in our legends to do some work for us in terms of speaking to free agents and convincing them to join our cause. Picture youreself a free agent, you are looking at teams that want you but none really stick out, you have you are small market teams that are offering you the most, but they do not have a winning tradition and probably won't be sniffing a title and quite a time. You have some big market teams that have a lot of perks, ie; (weather, lack of income tax, great players,) etc,etc,. But after meeting with these teams you get a call from the lakers, not just the lakers, but Magic Johnson is calling you and he wants to invite you to dinner to chat. Any sane player goes to the meeting with a child like enthusiasm. How can any player turn down an offer to join the lakers after having a dinner with any laker legend? Not only can they give them insight into the Lakers way, but how the lakers treat there winners and honor them. Obviosly this a very attainable goal, but it depends on on Jim and Mitch letting the legends go to work and stand aside a bit in terms of first meeting.
- Coaching situation: There is a lot of hate on Dantoni which is understandable. What angered me last year was the way he was running kobe out there for the whole game! I understand the lakers were in a playoff hunt and kobe is not really someone you say no to, but that, in its essence, is the role of the coach. Is it any surprise kobe suffered an extreme injury? There were a stretch of games where he was playing 48 mins a game. What was he expecting? Even though kobe is going to give you a death stare when you take him out, you have to.
2A. Now with all that said, i am of the opinion that a coaching change must be made. Dantoni is not a coach that can really lead us to a championship. But the question remains, if not him, then who? Not only do we need a coach, we need one with gravitas, someone who will command total respect from the players. I will submit a list of coaches who i think have everything the lakers are looking for and can lead us to championship level basketball. No particular order; Nate Mcmillan, George Karl, Jeff van gundy, Jerry sloan.
2C. I'm a big fan of Mcmillan, he is a good players coach and can get the best of them. If it wasant for the constant injury situations of Oden and Roy, they could have been a perennial contender for quite some time, sadly, that was not in the cards for them. And he has worked as an assistant for the USA Basketball for some time and has worked with the top talents in the nba and knows them well I'm sure. George Karl has an impeccable record wherever he has gone. Some will fault him for lack of playoff success, but his team have always been good but not realistic contenders. Except for that one year with the sonics when they were the number 1 seed and lost. Jerry Sloan has been out of coaching for a while but he should be looked at nonetheless. A courtesy call to see if he is interested would be fine. I'm adding Van Gundy because i think he can still be a really great coach in the nba.
Cap situation: Now i profess that i like everyone else here i am not a cap expert but i do have some general idea to what is possible and what is not. As currently constructed, Kobe, nash, and sacre are on the books for next season with nick young having a player option. So what that really spells out is we have a bit of a canvas where we can really construct a team that is a better position to contend with flexibilty to get better in seasons down the road.
Important to bring up: Before i dwell more into my plan, i hope the lakers do not fall into the belief of "we didint get our first three choices, lets get the fourth, whatever". What has happened to some teams, is they hoard cap space with the intent to sign the top free agents, but fail to land them. Not only that, but they decide to use their cap space and secondary tier players and pay them top dollars. The lakers must avoid this situation at all costs, even if it means standing pat. I rather stand pat for an offseason that to go two steps back and pick up a bad contract and a player that will be overpaid and not be integral to the lakers fortunes. Look at what happened to the dallas mavericks, they had cap space and wanted to get deron williams, that didint happen, they went into the next offseason wanting to get chris paul and dwight howard, they got neither and ended up with jose calderon who has an annual contract of 6.7 mill this year and 7 for the 3 after that. I rather save that type of cap space for the next offseason. I know it can be frustrating when the lakers don't get their top target, but they must be dilligent with their cap space.
The Nash Situation: As i stated before, Nash's contract will come off the books at the end of next season. Now i know there is camp in the forums that want to stretch waive him, which would stretch out the length of his contract to about 3 mill per 3 seasons. Although it is a viable option, why have his salary count against us for more than one season? we need as much flexability as we can get. That 3 mill per season can be used instead to add a player or to add to a salary to a player that we can get. It would be best to let his contract ride out, perhaps even use his contract as trading chip to aqquire an asset, that option cannot be ruled out. So in conclusion, it would best to let his contract run out.
The year of the early termination options: This upcoming offseason will defitnitly be an intriguing one. With lebron james and carmelo anthony having the option to opt out of their contracts, teams will be scrambling to have enough cap room to get one of these elite players.
The Lebron Situation: It is difficult to asses what the lakers should do. Lets assume that lebron does opt out, which is the most likeliest of scenarios. If that is the case, how can the lakers not pursue him? Everything must be done to convince him to come. He is the best player in the leauge without a doubt. The lakers need to bring in Magic Johnson to talk to lebron. In my opinion, our chances are very slim to get him, without magic, its downright zero. We simply don't have anything that is appealing that will make him want to jump ship, he has all the leverage, and he knows that. It is my belief that Lebron will stay with the heat. The best player in the leauge does not move team to team, the players go to him, and he realises that now. So even though theres about a 5 percent chance he joins the lakers. In terms of my plan, i am counting on the fact that lebron will rejoin the heat.
The Carmelo Situation: Noticing the talk about Carmelo, the forum is divided about Carmelo, and understandbly so, here is an example of a player who plays at a great level, but still has another level within them that can elevate a team to championship aspirations. That is not to say i think he is a perfect candidate for the lakers. The concerns that people have about him are very valid. It is my assesment that Carmelo should only be pursued if we have an elite coach who can bring out that next level that he is capable of. If Dantoni is confirmed as the coach for next season, Carmelo will not work well with the lakers and should thus not pursued. It is also possible he may want to join lebron in miami, and replace a member of the big three in miami. It will come down to what Carmelo wants, a big paycheck, a new team that he can be top dog in, or the alluring option to join lebron, thus taking pressure off him. It is my belief that carmelo will either opt out and re sign with the knicks, or opt out and join lebron.
2014-2015 Offseason Report: So if you kept up in my scenario, which i do believe is the likeliest of scenarios, there is no reason to panic for lakers fans. Would it be great to add lebron? of course, but we must be realistic and assess any situation and not let our fandom think for us. So now the question is if not lebron or carmelo? who?. Even though the lakers have plenty of cap space, the flip side is we don't have a team. With only three players under contract, the lakers have to sigh at least 10 players, which would bring the total to 13 which is the max, even though mitch has usually only had 12 with a spot remaining to have some flexability.
Team Building 101: As previosuly stated, the lakers will have a busy offseason not with just adding players, but building a team. It will be interesting to see what the lakers will do. Something that has always benefited the lakers and has always worked out for us is to have a good to elite level defender at the rim. When we had gasol,odom, and bynum, the lakers were always top in rebounding, and when having great defenders at the rim, they alter the shots and intimidate the opposition and reduce their shooting percentages when the defense is having problems stopping people.
Who should the lakers keep?: Even though this team has at times struggled mightily at both ends of the court, primarily at the defensive end, a lot of these players have shown heart and have not given up. There effort should be commended.
Kendall Marshall: I must admit i didint have much faith when they called him up from the d-leauge but he has certainly earned a place on the team for next year. He can read the court well and has is a good pass first mentality. He has shone some times and other has struggled, but that is to be expected with all the injuries and having a trial by fire. It would be wise for the lakers to pursue a point guard and to have kendall marshal come off the bench to further his development and not put too much pressure on him.
Jordan Farmar: To have him back is quite exciting, I have always felt it was a mistake when the lakers let him go. We are all familiar with his game and know he can be a productive point guard who can distribute well and is a confident shooter. Not only that, but I'm sure he can be had with a similar or with a slight raise.
Nick Young: I must admit i had no confidence when the lakers signed him, i don't believe i have ever been so wrong in terms of judgeing a player. Does he have some serious holes in his game? of course, but they have been highlighted even more with the lakers asking more of him than he has. With the proper pieces and with a team constructed well, he can be of tremendous value. If he is strictly used as an offensive guy off the bench to relieve the burden of putting points on the board when kobe goes to the bench, he will be most effective in that role.
Point about bench players: What we need to realise is that bench players most of the time will only have 1 or two good qualites about them, and that is not too bad. Everybody wants an all star to come off the bench but that is not going to happen. If you have a bench with a guy who can score, one that can be aggressive on the boards and play some post defense, one who can run the point well, and one who can play exceptional defese, that is all you need.
Sacre: Though he has shone some flashes of potential to be a rotation player, he hasant played enough to make a decision. If he shows that he is willing to put in the work to improve every year then that in itself is good enough for now.
Jordan Hill Situation: I am a fan of Jordan hill, he is energetic, the hustle he shows when he plays really excites the crowd and hopefully can spread to the other laker players. His current contract is at 3.5 mill a year. The lakers should offer a slight increase to salary but no more than 4-5 mill range, if another team offers him a higher contract, he is not worth a bidding war.
Ryan Kelly: Another examply of a player who simply has not had enough time to be evaluated. He has shown some potential, and should be kept as fringe rotaion player where he can develop more and have some minor minutes at best. And he can be had cheaply which is good.
Xavier Henry: Here is a young player who has really shown some stride and has the potential to grow even more, if he can harness his athletic ability with some more finesse and basketaball iq, he can be a good player coming off the bench.
Team outlook for next offseason: This is where i will address the each position individually and offer my outlook for the potential targets and what it can look like for the team.
Point Guard Situation: The lakers need to pursue a starting pg for this off season. In my ideal scenario, i have the lakers retaining Marshall and Farmar, both of them can platoon the back up pg spot. This leads me too who the lakers should target in terms of the pg position, Kyle Lowry. The lakers have always been in rumors of getting him for quite some time and now is the chance to finnaly get him. He is having a great year with the raptors and should be pursued at a reasonable price. This year he has a salary of 6.2 mill. The lakers should at most offer 10 mill per year. If he is pursued early and hard by the lakers, he can be our starting pg for our deep playoff runs. With him signed as our starter, and farmar marshall backing him up, and having at least one of them as pg at all times will have the lakers and in a great position of strength, something that has alluded the lakers in quite a while in terms of pg.
Shooting Guard: I have no question that kobe will come back at a level that we have been accostumed to in terms of the last couple of seasons. However, his minutes should be more closely monitred and the days of him logging massive minutes must come at an end to ensure he stays healthy and sharp for the playoffs. Nick Young should be a capable backup for kobe. Possibly Jodie meeks as well. as long as either one can really give kobe some rest while at the same time not hindering the team and at least hold their own they should be good.
Small Forward: Deng should be considered by the lakers as piece that can really help, I have always thought he was a smaller version of lamar odom but with a better jump shot but less ball handling skill. Though he does have a salary of 14.3, if he can be had for somewhere around the 9 mill range at most, the lakers should go for him. But if some team out there gives him a huge contract than nothing can be done about that. Xavier henry coming off the bench would be ideal, but if he can start and platoon the position with someone, it would make it a manageable situation. Nick young can also be put in this spot to give him more minutes and offense, when kobe is on the bench of course.
Power Forward: With Kevin Love having an early termination option for the offseason after next, this spot should be reserved for him. I know there have been some doubts in these forums about wheter the lakers should make him a centerpiece, but he really brings a lot to the table and can be a great piece to have under contract to build around once Kobe deal comes off the table. With all that said, Jordan hill can be given the nod to start and hopefully infuse some life on the boards. Kelly and sacre can fill in certain situations, sacre when the other teams play big, and Kelly when we can play small ball.
Center: Now with Gasol leaving most likely and the lakers not wanting to retain him, that leaves us at a need to address the center position. There are no elite level centers to be had this off season. But someone that is intruguing is Gortat. Though he is not an intimidating defense player, he does have some skills on the offensive end that can benefit the lakers. He has a good touch around the rim, very active on the boards, and can play pick and roll very well. His current salary of 7.7 is accepatable and a similar contract more or less can be made for him.
Regarding the lakers draft pick: I cannot speculate to whom the lakers will and should get as there position can't be determined as of yet. But as the season progresses the will probably end up with the 9 or 10 pick. In terms of planning, the lakers should get the most talent available and not worry about position. The player can turn out to be a solid contributor, an all star, franchise player, or bust as well. All are possible outcomes, and the lakers should be prepared for either scenario.
So this is with all the realistic targets for lakers and retaining of certain players will look like for the lakers.
Kyle Lowry/Farmar/Marshall
Kobe/Young/Meeks
Xavier Henry/Young
Jordan Hill/ Kelly
Gortat/ Sacre
And our first round pick.
Now is this team that i have constructed a title contender? no, but it makes us a competitive team that can possibly cause an upset. What can make us a contender is the addition of kevin love in the next offseason, with him on board we will still be a step below the other contenders but with Kobes contract, it is going to be impossible to really mold the team even more. All the lakers front office can do is do the best possible to make one last run with kobe and instead pairing him with top heavy talent, just give him plenty of help.
As of now this plan only covers for this offseason and a bit into the next one in terms of kevin love, but i would like to hear some feedback before i get into more long term planning for scenarios with the lakers. What i want for the forums to take away from this is to get a better idea on how and what the lakers can do, its not simply about lets just get x player and that is it, we must look at all aspects. What kind of style do we play? who should coach? who should we build around?
It is my opinion that with the team from this scenario, it can't contend for a title next year, but with the added pieces, and a franchise type player to replace kobe, a future can be seen that is very positive.
If you guys have any questions or want to talk about certain aspects about my scenario, please feel free to post on this thread and i will respond as best i can. All i ask is that we keep the conversation positive, and if there are differences, to be constructive and respectfull.






